2013 Pre-Season Power Rankings By Conference

My Pre-Season Power Rankings for Each Conference.  ESPN Power Rankings in ().

B1G

  1. Ohio State (1)
  2. Nebraska (4)
  3. Northwestern (3)
  4. Michigan State (6)
  5. Michigan (2)
  6. Wisconsin (5)
  7. Penn State (7)
  8. Iowa (11)
  9. Minnesota (8)
  10. Indiana (9)
  11. Purdue (10)
  12. Illinois (12)

ACC

  1. Florida State (2)
  2. Clemson (1)
  3. Miami, FL (3)
  4. Virginia Tech (5)
  5. Maryland (9)
  6. Virginia (13)
  7. Georgia Tech (6)
  8. North Carolina (4)
  9. Syracuse (11)
  10. Pittsburgh (10)
  11. NC State (8)
  12. Wake Forest (7)
  13. Duke (12)
  14. Boston College (14)

XII

  1. Kansas State (6)
  2. Oklahoma State (1)
  3. Oklahoma (3)
  4. Texas (4)
  5. Baylor (5)
  6. TCU (2)
  7. Texas Tech (8)
  8. West Virginia (7)
  9. Iowa State (9)
  10. Kansas (10)

PAC

  1. Stanford (1)
  2. Oregon (2)
  3. UCLA (4)
  4. Washington (6)
  5. Arizona State (3)
  6. Oregon State (7)
  7. USC (5)
  8. Utah (9)
  9. Arizona (8)
  10. California (10)
  11. Washington State (11)
  12. Colorado (12)

SEC

  1. Georgia (3)
  2. Alabama (1)
  3. South Carolina (4)
  4. LSU (6)
  5. Florida (5)
  6. Texas A&M (2)
  7. Missouri (11)
  8. Tennessee (12)
  9. Vanderbilt (7)
  10. Arkansas (13)
  11. Kentucky (14)
  12. Auburn (9)
  13. Ole Miss (8)
  14. Mississippi State (10)

AAC

  1. Louisville
  2. Rutgers
  3. Cincinnati
  4. UCF
  5. Connecticut
  6. SMU
  7. Houston
  8. USF
  9. Memphis
  10. Temple

MWC

  1. Boise State
  2. Fresno State
  3. San Jose State
  4. Utah State
  5. Air Force
  6. Wyoming
  7. Nevada
  8. San Diego State
  9. New Mexico
  10. Hawaii
  11. UNLV
  12. Colorado State

USA

  1. Tulsa
  2. Marshall
  3. ECU
  4. LA Tech
  5. Rice
  6. FL Atlantic
  7. So Miss
  8. MTSU
  9. UTEP
  10. FL International
  11. UTSA
  12. Tulane
  13. North Texas
  14. UAB

MAC

  1. No. Illinois
  2. Ohio
  3. Toledo
  4. Buffalo
  5. Kent State
  6. Miami, OH
  7. Bowling Green
  8. C. Michigan
  9. W. Michigan
  10. E. Michigan
  11. Ball State
  12. UMass
  13. Akron

Sun

  1. LA Lafayette
  2. LA Monroe
  3. W. Kentucky
  4. Arkansas State
  5. Troy
  6. Georgia State
  7. Texas State
  8. So. Alabama

Ind.

  1. Notre Dame
  2. BYU
  3. Navy
  4. Army
  5. Idaho
  6. NM State
  7. Old Dominion

 

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NCAA Conferences Races

American Athletic Conference

Louisville is the favorite, while Rutgers and Cincinnati will battle for the #2 spot.  UCF # 4 followed by the rest of the field.

ACC Atlantic

The winner of Florida State – Clemson wins the division.  A surprise Maryland team sneaks into the #3 spot followed by a battle between NC State and Syracuse.

ACC Coastal

Virginia Tech and Miami, FL vie for the top spot followed by a horse race for third with North Carolina, Georgia Tech, Syracuse and Virginia.

Big XII

I still like Kansas State but will pick Oklahoma State for the top spot.  Oklahoma and Texas for third, Baylor and TCU for fifth.

B1G Legends

One of the most competitive divisions in the country with Nebraska, Northwestern, Michigan State and Michigan all with legit shots.  I like them to fall in that order though.  Nebraska has the easiest schedule.

B1G Leaders

Ohio St. has the inside track but Wisconsin’s schedule lines up well for a 10 or 11 win season, even with the new coaching staff.  Penn State is a competitive third.

C-USA East

Marshall and Eastern Carolina are the favorites but I’ll put the hapless Owls of Florida Atlantic in the mix as this season’s Cinderella. 

C-USA West

Tulsa, Louisiana Tech and Rice; in that order.

MWC West

Fresno State followed by a battle between Nevada, San Jose State and San Diego State.

MWC Mountain

Boise State followed by a battle between Utah State, Air Force and Wyoming.

MAC East

All Ohio with Buffalo as a surprise second.

MAC West

All Northern Illinois with Toledo following.

PAC North

Stanford over Oregon with Washington topping Oregon State for third.

PAC South

UCLA over USC with Arizona State over Utah for third.

SEC East

Three horse race between Georgia, South Carolina and Florida.  Dawgs win.

SEC West

Three solids in Alabama, LSU and Texas A&M.  Alabama still the king.

Sun Belt

Louisiana Lafayette, Louisiana Monroe, Western Kentucky and Arkansas State all in the hunt.  ASU has lost both coach and QB so probably fall 4th.  

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The Top 25 College Football Games of the 2013 Opening Weekend

My pick in Bold.  

25.  Liberty @ Kent State — Looking forward to seeing Turner Gill in his second year at the helm of the Flames.  Go Flames.

24.  FL-Atlantic @ Miami, FL — Looking Forward to seeing Carl Pelini in his second year at the helm of the Owls.  Go Owls.

23.  Colorado vs Colorado State — season opening rivalries are always nice, even if both teams stink.  Go Rams.

22.  Texas Tech @ SMU

21.  Washington State @ Auburn — Battle of the Big Time Bottom Feeders, the worst of the best.

20.  Kentucky vs Western Kentucky

19.  Miami, OH @ Marshall

18.  Nevada @ UCLA

17.  BYU @ Virginia

16.  Wyoming @ Nebraska — Not that compelling of a game but, its MY Huskers!!

15.  Florida State @ Pittsburgh — Monday Night Football and Welcome to the ACC!!

14.  Ole Miss @ Vanderbilt —  This is a game that could mean bowl eligibility for either one of these teams. 

13.  Utah State @ Utah

12.  N. Carolina @ S. Carolina — The FIRST game of the season.

11. Rutgers @ Fresno State — a pair of 9-4 teams from a year ago both hoping to improve.

10.  N. Illinois @ Iowa — The Huskies were a single point from a 13-0 season.

9.  Ohio @ Louisville — Louisville should be a big favorite, but then again, so was Penn State last year.  Go Bobcats.

8.  Northwestern @ California — The B1G did not fare well against the PAC12 last year.  A B1Ger story line starts here.

7.  Mississippi State vs Oklahoma State — I don’t think it will be that close.

6.  LSU vs TCU — TCU has gotten some preseason hype and sported the Big XII’s best defense last year.  But I think they are pretenders.  Not a lot of scoring here though.

5.  Purdue @ Cincinnati

4.  Alabama vs Virginia Tech

3.  Penn State vs Syracuse

2.  Boise State @ Washington

1.  Georgia @ Clemson — Aaron Murray.  Tahj Boyd. Nuff Said.  Go Dawgs!!

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B1G Twist for 2013

So everyone thinks Ohio State is invincible in the Big Ten this year.  I was initially in agreement but am now rethinking my original predictions for the 2013 B1G Championship.

Leaders Division

  1. Wisconsin 10-2, 7-1.  Suffer losses at Arizona State and at Ohio State.  Wisconsin will get better as the season progresses.  The showdown in the dessert should be close but the slight learning curve with new Coach Anderson could cause the early stumble.  But the absence of Michigan, Michigan State and Nebraska from the schedule and hosting Penn State at the end of the season bodes well for the Badgers.
  2. Ohio State 10-2, 6-2.  Upset at Northwestern and in the Big House.  Northwestern is a trap game on the road following a key divisional game against Wisconsin.  Michigan will already have three losses when they meet OSU and will pull out all the stops at home.  Still likely to go 12-0 and be the favored in Indianapolis.
  3. Penn State 10-2, 6-2.  Losses at Ohio State and at Wisconsin.  Home wins over Michigan and Nebraska may be a stretch.  5 losses would not surprise me.
  4. Indiana 6-6, 3-5. Losses to MO, PSU, MSU, MI, WI & OSU. Play 5 of the top 6 teams in the B1G. 
  5. Purdue 2-10, 1-7.  Will be competitive often but only muster Ws against Indiana St. and Illinois. Cincinnati, N. Illinois, Iowa and Indiana are winnable games and Purdue could be 6-6 as easily as 2-10.
  6. 2-10, 0-9.  Wins over S. Illinois and Miami, OH.  Wes Lunt will help the Illini in 2014 but Nathan Scheelhaase is still the signal caller for 2013.

Legends

  1. Nebraska 10-2, 6-2.  Losses at Michigan and at Penn State.  Home field against UCLA and Northwestern could help Nebraska get to 8-0 before traveling to the Big House.  If this momentum is enough to get them a W in Ann Arbor they are likely to head to Indianapolis 12-0.
  2. Northwestern 10-2, 6-2.  Losses at Wisconsin and at Nebraska. Home wins against Michigan, Michigan State and Ohio State may be a stretch.  Northwestern plays 5 of the top 6 teams in the B1G (themselves being the 6th).  They could as easily be 7-5 as 10-2.
  3. Michigan State 9-3, 6-2.  Losses at Notre Dame, at Nebraska and at Northwestern.  I give Michigan the win over Notre Dame but pick Michigan State to lose to the Irish and beat the Wolverines.  Sparty’s defense will be the best in the league but the offense will still be hit and miss.
  4. Michigan 9-3, 5-3.  Losses at Penn State, at Michigan State and at Northwestern.  These are all winnable games but Michigan could also easily lose to either Nebraska or Ohio State. 
  5. Iowa 6-6, 2-6.  Win all non-conference, at Minnesota and at Purdue.  Northern Illinois, @ Iowa State, @ Purdue and @ Minnesota are not givens.  This could be a tough season for the Hawk-eyes.  They host several teams that are good enough to beat them anyway and then travel to the teams where a home field advantage would be more beneficial.
  6. Minnesota 4-8, 0-8.  Win all non-conference but no conference games.  The Gophers host Iowa and travel to Indiana.  There is still hope for them to go bowling.
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Predicting The Conference Championship Games

My Predictions for the teams that will be playing in their Conference Championship Games in December 2013. In parenthesis are my #2 in each division).

B1G Nebraska vs Ohio State (Michigan State, Wisconsin) — Michigan tops Nebraska in Ann Arbor but falls to both Ohio State and Michigan State.  Ohio State could run the table but are not invincible.

SEC Georgia vs Alabama (Florida, Texas A&M)  Georgia has LSU and SC at home and FL on a neutral field and do not play AL or TX A&M.  Bama will be ready for the week 2 road trip to College Station and hosts LSU.

ACC Florida State vs Virginia Tech (Clemson, Georgia Tech) I am a little worried about FSU’s road trip to Death Valley but I think they are the better team.  Poor road trips to CLEM & GT would be devastating for VT.  But I think they only need to win one of the two.

PAC Stanford vs UCLA (Oregon, Arizona State) Coaching continuity and home field advantage give the edge to STAN over OR.  UCLA may be a stretch considering they travel to STAN, OR, AZ and USC.  But they host AZ St and are better than AZ and USC.

MW Boise State vs Fresno State (Utah State, Nevada)  Both BSU and FSU will be in the top 25 at the time of this game.

USA Louisiana Tech vs Marshall (Tulsa, ECU) LA Tech hosts Tulsa and do not play Marshall or ECU.  If they can carry momentum in from last season despite loosing a Sonny Dykes the non-conference schedule sets them up well going into C-USA  play.  Tulsa has a more challenging non-conference schedule and play ECU, Marshall and LA Tech in straight weeks.  I will be secretly rooting for Florida Atlantic in the East but Marshall hosts ECU at the end of the regular season and I expect the winner to get the nod.  ECU has the edge going into this game because they host Tulsa while Marshall travels to Tulsa but I still see Marshall advancing.

MAC Ohio vs N. Illinois (Miami, OH, Toledo) These are the only two teams that are consistently near the top of their divisions. I also don’t think the loss of Hazell will affect Kent State more dramatically than loosing Doeren will affect N. IL.  Solich is due.

Other Conferences:

XII Kansas State (Oklahoma State)  I think most prognosticators are picking Oklahoma or Texas.  The Big XII power shift started when Nebraska and Colorado bolted and continued last year when Missouri and Texas A& M departed and K-State won the crown.  TX & OK may still control the $$$ in the Big XII, but my money’s on Schneider and Gundy.

American Louisville (Rutgers)  Rutgers and Cincinnati will make a push, but Louisville is the cream of the Big East … I mean Conference USA …. I mean American Athletic Conference.

Sun U. Louisiana Lafayette (Arkansas State)  The loss of both Malzhan and Appley is enough for the reining champs to get dethroned.

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Projected B1G 2013 Finish

Leaders

  1. Ohio St. 12-0
  2. Wisconsin 10-2 (OSU, PSU)
  3. Penn St. 9-3 (MI, OSU, NE)
  4. Indiana 5-7
  5. Purdue 2-10
  6. Illinois 2-10

Legends

  1. Nebraska 11-1 (MI)
  2. Michigan St. 10-2 (NE, NW)
  3. Michigan 10-2 (MI St., OSU)
  4. Northwestern 8-4 (OSU, WI, NE, MI)
  5. Minnesota 6-6
  6. Iowa 4-8

 

 

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Ranking Nebraska Football Teams

In this post I will simply list my ranking of each Nebraska Cornhusker Football Team over the past 50 years (1963 – 2012).

Rank-Year-Record-AP Rank-Coach

  1. 1995   12-0   #1   Osborne
  2. 1971   13-0   #1   Devaney
  3. 1994   13-0   #1   Osborne
  4. 1997   13-0   #2   Osborne
  5. 1970   11-0-1   #1 Devaney
  6. 1983   12-1   #2   Osborne
  7. 1999   12-1   #3   Solich
  8. 1993   11-1   #3   Osborne
  9. 1982   12-1   #3   Osborne
  10. 1965   10-1   #3   Devaney
  11. 1963   10-1   #3   Devaney
  12. 1984   10-2   #3   Osborne
  13. 2001   11-2   #7   Solich
  14. 1986   10-2   #4   Osborne
  15. 1972   9-2-1   #4   Devaney
  16. 1987   10-2   #6   Osborne
  17. 1996   11-2   #6   Osborne
  18. 2000  10-2   #7   Solich
  19. 1966   9-2   #6   Devaney
  20. 1964   9-2   #6   Devaney
  21. 1980   10-2   #7   Osborne
  22. 1977   10-2   #7   Osborne
  23. 1975   10-2   #9   Osborne
  24. 1988   11-2  #10   Osborne
  25. 1989   10-2   #11   Osborne
  26. 1969   9-2   #11   Devaney
  27. 1973   9-2-1  #7  Devaney
  28. 1974   9-3   #7   Osborne
  29. 1978   9-3   #8   Osborne
  30. 1981   9-3   #9   Osborne
  31. 1985   9-3   #10   Osborne
  32. 1977   9-3   #10   Osborne
  33. 1976  9-3-1  #7   Osborne
  34. 1992   9-3   #14   Osborne
  35. 1991   9-2-1  #15   Osborne
  36. 1990   9-3   #17   Osborne
  37. 2009   10-4   #14   Pelini
  38. 2003   10-3   #18   Solich
  39. 1998   9-4   #19   Solich
  40. 2010   10-4   #20   Pelini
  41. 2012   10-4   #25   Pelini
  42. 2011   9-4   #24   Pelini
  43. 2008   9-4   NR   Pelini
  44. 2005   8-4   #24   Callahan
  45. 2006   9-5   NR   Callahan
  46. 1968   6-4   NR   Devaney
  47. 1967   6-4   NR   Devaney
  48. 2002   7-7   NR  Solich
  49. 2004   5-6   NR   Callahan
  50. 2007   5-7   NR   Callahan

A NOTE:  Nebraska has had 48 winning seasons (and bowl appearances) in the past 50 years.  They have cracked the AP Top 25  43 out of 50 season and the Top 10  30 of the last 50.  However, Nebraska has not cracked the Top 15 since Solich’s failed National Championship bid in 2001.

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